AFC Totton 1-1 Chesham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 2 Sep 2025

📅02/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.38
6+ Goals
7%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 28% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Totton EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesham United EU Bookmakers 29%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
2.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.35
+54% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
277 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Totton
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Chesham United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.03.2024 Chesham United Chesham United 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Totton AFC Totton İNGNLP
02.12.2023 AFC Totton AFC Totton 2-2 HT 0-2 Chesham United Chesham United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Totton
1-1
AWAY Chesham United
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Totton vs Chesham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Totton and Chesham United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Totton at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, AFC Totton had 55% of the ball to Chesham United's 45%, shots finished 10-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chesham United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AFC Totton and 2.00 for Chesham United.

What was the final score of AFC Totton vs Chesham United?

AFC Totton 1-1 Chesham United in the England - Conference on 02/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Totton vs Chesham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Totton win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split AFC Totton 50%, draw 27%, Chesham United 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Totton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Totton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
2 Sep 2025
21:45 Marine vs Darlington 1883 Analysis →
21:45 Dover Athletic vs Dagenham & Redbridge Analysis →
21:45 Weston-super-Mare vs Maidstone United Analysis →
21:45 Bath City vs Maidenhead United Analysis →
21:45 Slough Town vs Chippenham Town Analysis →
21:45 Tonbridge Angels vs Enfield Town Analysis →