Chesham United 2-0 AFC Totton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Mar 2024

Chesham United
2-0 HT 1-0
AFC Totton
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Chesham United vs AFC Totton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.91
Over 2.5
39%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.7
No
59%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.1pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.8pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
48%
+12.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
52%
-12.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
55%
-14.1pp
59%
BTTS No
45%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chesham United v AFC Totton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesham United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Totton EU Bookmakers 31%
+18% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.15/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.53/1.49
+30% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +93% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Chesham United vs AFC Totton Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesham United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY AFC Totton
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
02.12.2023 AFC Totton AFC Totton 2-2 HT 0-2 Chesham United Chesham United İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Chesham United vs AFC Totton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesham United got the better of AFC Totton 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chesham United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Chesham United vs AFC Totton?

Chesham United 2-0 AFC Totton in the England - Non League Premier on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesham United vs AFC Totton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 41%, draw 33%, AFC Totton 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chesham United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chesham United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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