Long Eaton United 3-3 St Ives Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.09
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
60%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
2.89
Over 2.5
70%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.55
No
35%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
16%
+0.8pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.7pp
60%
Away Win
66%
-5.5pp
30%
Under 2.5
31%
-1.1pp
70%
Over 2.5
69%
+1.1pp
64%
BTTS Yes
60%
+4.1pp
36%
BTTS No
40%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Long Eaton United EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 70%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -67% / -67%
1.03/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+0% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -50%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Long Eaton United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY St Ives Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
02.12.2023 St Ives Town St Ives Town 5-0 HT 3-0 Long Eaton United İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Long Eaton United vs St Ives Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Long Eaton United and St Ives Town shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. St Ives Town carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Long Eaton United vs St Ives Town?

Long Eaton United 3-3 St Ives Town in the England - Non League Premier on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Long Eaton United vs St Ives Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an St Ives Town win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Long Eaton United 17%, draw 23%, St Ives Town 60%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St Ives Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St Ives Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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