Morpeth Town 2-0 Lancaster City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 43%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -23%
1.69/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.40
+12% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morpeth Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lancaster City
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.10.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 3-2 HT 1-1 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
04.03.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 2-1 HT 1-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
08.10.2022 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 2-3 Lancaster City Lancaster City FAK
27.09.2022 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 6-3 HT 3-1 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
22.03.2022 Lancaster City Lancaster City 1-0 HT 1-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
18.12.2021 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 3-3 HT 1-2 Lancaster City Lancaster City FAK
POST-MATCH Morpeth Town vs Lancaster City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morpeth Town saw off Lancaster City 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Morpeth Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lancaster City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Morpeth Town and 2.50 for Lancaster City.

What was the final score of Morpeth Town vs Lancaster City?

Morpeth Town 2-0 Lancaster City in the England - Non League Premier on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morpeth Town vs Lancaster City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Morpeth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Morpeth Town 39%, draw 24%, Lancaster City 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Morpeth Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Morpeth Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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