Basford United 2-1 Matlock Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Mar 2024

Basford United
2-1
Matlock Town
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Basford United vs Matlock Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
38%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
29%
+11.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
37%
Away Win
47%
-9.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Basford United v Matlock Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basford United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Matlock Town EU Bookmakers 51%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.11/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.09
-23% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Basford United vs Matlock Town Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basford United
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Matlock Town
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
24.10.2023 Matlock Town Matlock Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Basford United Basford United İNGNLP
09.04.2022 Basford United Basford United 0-1 HT 0-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
17.08.2021 Matlock Town Matlock Town 2-1 HT 2-0 Basford United Basford United İNGNLP

Basford United 2-1 Matlock Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basford United
2-1
AWAY Matlock Town
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Basford United vs Matlock Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basford United squeezed past Matlock Town 2-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; Basford United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Basford United had 61% of the ball to Matlock Town's 39%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Matlock Town led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Basford United and 1.67 for Matlock Town.

What was the final score of Basford United vs Matlock Town?

Basford United 2-1 Matlock Town in the England - Non League Premier on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basford United vs Matlock Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basford United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Basford United 40%, draw 22%, Matlock Town 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basford United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Basford United) ✗ Under 2.5
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