AFC Hornchurch 4-1 Billericay Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
30%
+12.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
34%
Away Win
43%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Billericay Town EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
258 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Hornchurch
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Billericay Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
25 Total Shots 12
12 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
23.07.2015 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 2-0 HT 1-0 Billericay Town Billericay Town HAZ
POST-MATCH AFC Hornchurch vs Billericay Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Hornchurch swept aside Billericay Town 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AFC Hornchurch as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of AFC Hornchurch vs Billericay Town?

AFC Hornchurch 4-1 Billericay Town in the England - Non League Premier on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Hornchurch vs Billericay Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AFC Hornchurch 42%, draw 24%, Billericay Town 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Hornchurch), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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