Harkemase Boys 0-1 Sparta Nijkerk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 2 Sep 2025

📅02/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
15%
4.34
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-5.1pp
15%
Draw
20%
-4.7pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+9.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.2pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harkemase Boys EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Nijkerk EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Harkemase Boys vs Sparta Nijkerk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Nijkerk edged past Harkemase Boys 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Harkemase Boys at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Harkemase Boys vs Sparta Nijkerk?

Harkemase Boys 0-1 Sparta Nijkerk in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 02/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harkemase Boys vs Sparta Nijkerk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harkemase Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Harkemase Boys 55%, draw 15%, Sparta Nijkerk 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Harkemase Boys) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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