Zwaluwen 1-2 Urk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 2 Sep 2025

Zwaluwen
1-2 HT 0-0
Urk
📅02/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
1.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.9pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zwaluwen EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Urk EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
397 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zwaluwen
1-2
AWAY Urk
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 26
8 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Zwaluwen vs Urk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urk squeezed past Zwaluwen 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Urk found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zwaluwen had 43% of the ball to Urk's 57%, shots finished 17-26.

What was the final score of Zwaluwen vs Urk?

Zwaluwen 1-2 Urk in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 02/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zwaluwen vs Urk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zwaluwen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zwaluwen 39%, draw 23%, Urk 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zwaluwen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zwaluwen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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