Burnley vs Middlesbrough Prediction — Model Probabilities
Burnley v Middlesbrough — Team-Based Signals
Burnley vs Middlesbrough Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Neither Burnley nor Middlesbrough earn a real lean from the model — expect a game decided by fine details.
Burnley arrive on a real home run — 4 wins from the last 5 in the league, while Middlesbrough's recent away league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 4 of the last 5.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley have the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Burnley against 0.50 for Middlesbrough.
Burnley vs Middlesbrough Kick-off Time
Burnley play Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 02/09/2026, kick-off 22:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Burnley vs Middlesbrough Match Prediction & Odds
Our model's prediction for Burnley vs Middlesbrough is an Middlesbrough win at about 37% probability, priced 2.51 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Burnley 36%, draw 27%, Middlesbrough 37%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.