Lisen 2-2 Sparta Prag II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
53%
-12.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lisen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag II EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.46/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.93
-12% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lisen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sparta Prag II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.05.2024 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 1-3 HT 1-1 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
21.10.2023 Lisen Lisen 4-2 HT 3-0 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
29.04.2023 Lisen Lisen 0-1 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
09.10.2022 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 0-0 HT 0-0 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
11.05.2022 Lisen Lisen 1-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
21.11.2021 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 2-1 HT 1-0 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lisen
2-2
AWAY Sparta Prag II
33% Ball Possession 67%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lisen vs Sparta Prag II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lisen and Sparta Prag II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lisen had 33% of the ball to Sparta Prag II's 67%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lisen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lisen and 1.00 for Sparta Prag II.

What was the final score of Lisen vs Sparta Prag II?

Lisen 2-2 Sparta Prag II in the Czech Republic - FNL on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lisen vs Sparta Prag II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lisen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lisen 40%, draw 28%, Sparta Prag II 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lisen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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