Sparta Prag II 1-3 Lisen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lisen EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +8%
1.35/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.18
-20% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag II
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Lisen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2023 Lisen Lisen 4-2 HT 3-0 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
29.04.2023 Lisen Lisen 0-1 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
09.10.2022 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 0-0 HT 0-0 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
11.05.2022 Lisen Lisen 1-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
21.11.2021 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 2-1 HT 1-0 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag II
1-3
AWAY Lisen
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag II vs Lisen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lisen got the better of Sparta Prag II 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sparta Prag II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sparta Prag II had 58% of the ball to Lisen's 42%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sparta Prag II and 1.20 for Lisen.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag II vs Lisen?

Sparta Prag II 1-3 Lisen in the Czech Republic - FNL on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag II vs Lisen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag II 44%, draw 27%, Lisen 29%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Prag II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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