Varnsdorf 3-2 Hanacka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+9.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varnsdorf EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Hanacka EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.25/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.73
+24% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
422 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varnsdorf
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hanacka
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.10.2023 Hanacka Hanacka 1-2 HT 0-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varnsdorf
3-2
AWAY Hanacka
48% Ball Possession 52%
22 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Varnsdorf vs Hanacka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varnsdorf nicked a narrow win over Hanacka 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Varnsdorf as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Varnsdorf had 48% of the ball to Hanacka's 52%, shots finished 22-14.

What was the final score of Varnsdorf vs Hanacka?

Varnsdorf 3-2 Hanacka in the Czech Republic - FNL on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varnsdorf vs Hanacka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varnsdorf win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Varnsdorf 50%, draw 22%, Hanacka 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varnsdorf), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Varnsdorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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