Vissel Kobe 2-1 Shandong Taishan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.32
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.29
Over
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
20%
4.66
2-3
39%
1.91
4-5
30%
2.86
6+
11%
8.02
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.66 — our 20% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.53
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
21.85
X/1
15%
3.46
X/2
8%
18.35
X/X
8%
7.59
2/1
12%
22.3
2/2
7%
14.3
2/X
5%
22.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Vissel Kobe win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-9.3pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.4pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 14%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.44/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.02
+74% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +8%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
448 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
18.5 Crosses 14.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
2-1
AWAY Shandong Taishan
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
245 Passes 155
72% Pass Accuracy 62%
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Shandong Taishan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe squeezed past Shandong Taishan 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 58% of the ball to Shandong Taishan's 42%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Shandong Taishan?

Vissel Kobe 2-1 Shandong Taishan in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Shandong Taishan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 62%, draw 19%, Shandong Taishan 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Over 2.5
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