Yokohama F. Marinos 4-0 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.43
Over Pick
61%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1
19%
5.23
2-3
43%
1.97
4-5
24%
2.71
6+
14%
6.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.09
1/2
5%
26.0
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
10%
5.47
X/2
13%
6.38
X/X
9%
5.75
2/1
5%
22.7
2/2
18%
3.82
2/X
8%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 5% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.8pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 37%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.37/2.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.36
+103% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
15.3 Crosses 13.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.62 xG 2.08
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 11
413 Passes 511
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 53
18 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.04.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 3-2 HT 3-2 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai AŞMP
17.04.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
4-0
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
1.63 xG 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 3
301 Passes 403
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 26
6 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos ran out comfortable winners over Ulsan Hyundai 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Yokohama F. Marinos as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 44% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 56%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.63 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.50 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Yokohama F. Marinos 4-0 Ulsan Hyundai in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 42%, draw 22%, Ulsan Hyundai 36%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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