Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.5
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
8.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.5 — our 27% vs market 17.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.5
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
12%
4.65
X/2
11%
8.06
X/X
11%
5.37
2/1
12%
21.85
2/2
11%
5.39
2/X
9%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
1.59/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.69
+12% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
17.0 Crosses 9.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
1-0
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
0.66 xG 2.03
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
261 Passes 451
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai edged past Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ulsan Hyundai as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ulsan Hyundai had 41% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 59%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.66 to 2.03 — on chances, Yokohama F. Marinos could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 42%, draw 29%, Yokohama F. Marinos 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AŞMP More AFC Sampiyonlar League
17 Apr 2024
19:00 Al Ain vs Al Hilal Riyadh Analysis →