Yokohama F. Marinos 3-2 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.1
Over Pick
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
25%
4.05
2-3
38%
1.84
4-5
25%
3.09
6+
12%
9.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.85
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
4%
12.45
X/1
15%
4.92
X/2
12%
7.05
X/X
11%
5.0
2/1
5%
23.6
2/2
16%
4.72
2/X
8%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.5 — our 5% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 32%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.67/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.56
-6% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
32.4 Crosses 14.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.03 xG 0.66
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
451 Passes 261
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.04.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
3-2
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
1.22 xG 3.49
35% Ball Possession 65%
14 Total Shots 40
5 Shots on Target 15
5 Corners 15
375 Passes 761
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
25 Box Touches 90
12 Crosses 43
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos edged past Ulsan Hyundai 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Yokohama F. Marinos as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 35% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 65%, shots finished 14-40, expected goals 1.22 to 3.49 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Yokohama F. Marinos 3-2 Ulsan Hyundai in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 43%, draw 24%, Ulsan Hyundai 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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