Atletico Tigre 1-1 Independiente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 2 Oct 2024

Atletico Tigre
1-1 HT 0-1
Independiente
📅02/10/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Atletico Tigre vs Independiente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.9
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
15%
7.28
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.54
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.05
X/1
11%
6.18
X/2
15%
4.42
X/X
15%
3.17
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.47
2/X
6%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.9pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.0pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.8pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.9pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.6pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Tigre v Independiente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -16%
1.02/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.99
-8% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
255 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
20.1 Crosses 17.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Atletico Tigre vs Independiente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tigre
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Independiente
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.19 xG 1.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 Passes 301
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.05.2023 Independiente Independiente 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
09.10.2022 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 2-1 HT 2-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
10.04.2022 Independiente Independiente 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
04.08.2021 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 2-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJK
29.09.2018 Independiente Independiente 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
20.03.2018 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 1-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ

Atletico Tigre 1-1 Independiente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tigre
1-1
AWAY Independiente
0.87 xG 0.90
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
274 Passes 272
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Tigre vs Independiente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tigre and Independiente couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Tigre had 50% of the ball to Independiente's 50%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.87 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Tigre had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Tigre and 1.00 for Independiente.

What was the final score of Atletico Tigre vs Independiente?

Atletico Tigre 1-1 Independiente in the Argentina - Premier League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tigre vs Independiente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tigre 32%, draw 30%, Independiente 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Independiente), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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