Rosario Central 3-0 Velez Sarsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 2 Oct 2024

Rosario Central
3-0 HT 1-0
Velez Sarsfield
📅02/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Rosario Central vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
6.2
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.17
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1
10%
7.02
X/2
12%
4.27
X/X
16%
3.37
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
25%
3.06
2/X
9%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.6pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.9pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+1.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.4pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rosario Central v Velez Sarsfield — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 48%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -7%
1.35/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.07
+21% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
22.3 Crosses 17.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3

Rosario Central vs Velez Sarsfield Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosario Central
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.83 xG 0.91
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
269 Passes 282
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.03.2024 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 1-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
20.10.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-1 HT 0-1 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
16.05.2023 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
21.06.2022 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 2-0 HT 1-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
16.02.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-0 HT 0-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
25.07.2021 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-0 HT 0-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ

Rosario Central 3-0 Velez Sarsfield — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosario Central
3-0
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
1.14 xG 0.43
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
238 Passes 381
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rosario Central vs Velez Sarsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosario Central cruised past Velez Sarsfield 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Velez Sarsfield at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Rosario Central had 42% of the ball to Velez Sarsfield's 58%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.14 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rosario Central and 0.67 for Velez Sarsfield.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Velez Sarsfield?

Rosario Central 3-0 Velez Sarsfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs Velez Sarsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Velez Sarsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 25%, draw 30%, Velez Sarsfield 45%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Velez Sarsfield), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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