Dragon 1-0 FAS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 2 Oct 2024

Dragon
1-0 HT 1-0
FAS
📅02/10/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Dragon vs FAS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
41%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+6.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-8.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dragon v FAS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dragon EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FAS EU Bookmakers 53%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.79/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.88
-32% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +14%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
219 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Dragon vs FAS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dragon
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FAS
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.08.2024 FAS FAS 2-0 HT 1-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
14.04.2024 FAS FAS 0-2 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
12.02.2024 Dragon Dragon 0-0 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
04.12.2023 FAS FAS 0-1 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
30.11.2023 Dragon Dragon 1-1 HT 0-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
09.11.2023 Dragon Dragon 0-1 HT 0-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
POST-MATCH Dragon vs FAS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dragon edged past FAS 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was FAS at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dragon and 0.67 for FAS.

What was the final score of Dragon vs FAS?

Dragon 1-0 FAS in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dragon vs FAS?

Before kick-off our model rated an FAS win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dragon 30%, draw 29%, FAS 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FAS) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FAS) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →