FAS 0-2 Dragon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 14 Apr 2024

FAS
0-2 HT 0-1
Dragon
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

FAS vs Dragon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-8.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FAS v Dragon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FAS EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Dragon EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +19%
1.64/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.27
-3% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1

FAS vs Dragon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FAS
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dragon
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.02.2024 Dragon Dragon 0-0 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
04.12.2023 FAS FAS 0-1 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
30.11.2023 Dragon Dragon 1-1 HT 0-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
09.11.2023 Dragon Dragon 0-1 HT 0-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
28.09.2023 FAS FAS 1-0 HT 1-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
20.03.2023 Dragon Dragon 0-2 HT 0-2 FAS FAS ELSAL
POST-MATCH FAS vs Dragon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dragon saw off FAS 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was FAS at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FAS had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FAS and 0.33 for Dragon.

What was the final score of FAS vs Dragon?

FAS 0-2 Dragon in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FAS vs Dragon?

Before kick-off our model rated a FAS win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FAS 50%, draw 25%, Dragon 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (FAS), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FAS) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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