Santa Tecla 1-1 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
51%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.71
Over 2.5
56%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-0.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
55%
-10.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
45%
+10.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.2pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Tecla EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 56%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.13/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.04
+11% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
221 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Tecla
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Alianza
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3 Corners 3
12.02.2024 Alianza Alianza 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
23.10.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 0-2 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
28.08.2023 Alianza Alianza 2-2 HT 1-1 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
20.03.2023 Alianza Alianza 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
20.10.2022 Alianza Alianza 0-1 HT 0-1 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
14.04.2022 Alianza Alianza 2-2 HT 2-1 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
POST-MATCH Santa Tecla vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Tecla and Alianza couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Santa Tecla and 1.00 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Santa Tecla vs Alianza?

Santa Tecla 1-1 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Tecla vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Santa Tecla 25%, draw 24%, Alianza 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alianza), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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