Zabbar St. Patrick 1-3 Marsaxlokk FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.65
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
56%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.9
No
61%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
56%
Away Win
58%
-1.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.5pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 62%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/0.62
+22% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / -14%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
1-3
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zabbar St. Patrick vs Marsaxlokk FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsaxlokk FC beat Zabbar St. Patrick 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Marsaxlokk FC as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zabbar St. Patrick had 46% of the ball to Marsaxlokk FC's 54%, shots finished 6-7.

What was the final score of Zabbar St. Patrick vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Zabbar St. Patrick 1-3 Marsaxlokk FC in the Malta - Premier League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marsaxlokk FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Zabbar St. Patrick 20%, draw 24%, Marsaxlokk FC 56%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MLTP More Malta - Premier League
2 Oct 2024
19:00 Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians FC Analysis →