Hamrun Spartans 0-2 Hibernians FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
52%
-13.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
33%
Away Win
22%
+11.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 25%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.16/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.42
-19% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamrun Spartans
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hibernians FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
08.01.2023 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-0 HT 0-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
29.08.2022 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-4 HT 0-2 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
16.04.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-2 HT 1-1 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTAK
26.02.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 0-0 HT 0-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
21.11.2021 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamrun Spartans
0-2
AWAY Hibernians FC
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernians FC saw off Hamrun Spartans 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Hibernians FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hamrun Spartans had 53% of the ball to Hibernians FC's 47%, shots finished 6-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hamrun Spartans and 0.83 for Hibernians FC.

What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians FC?

Hamrun Spartans 0-2 Hibernians FC in the Malta - Premier League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 39%, draw 29%, Hibernians FC 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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