Hibernians FC 1-2 Hamrun Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.71
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
54%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
54%
Away Win
58%
-4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.0pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +98%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernians FC
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.01.2023 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-0 HT 0-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
29.08.2022 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-4 HT 0-2 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
16.04.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-2 HT 1-1 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTAK
26.02.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 0-0 HT 0-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
21.11.2021 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernians FC
1-2
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
47% Ball Possession 53%
2 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hibernians FC vs Hamrun Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans squeezed past Hibernians FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hibernians FC had 47% of the ball to Hamrun Spartans's 53%, shots finished 2-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Hibernians FC and 1.20 for Hamrun Spartans.

What was the final score of Hibernians FC vs Hamrun Spartans?

Hibernians FC 1-2 Hamrun Spartans in the Malta - Premier League on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernians FC vs Hamrun Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hibernians FC 21%, draw 25%, Hamrun Spartans 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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