Naxxar Lions 0-0 Mosta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.17
Draw
34%
3.45
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.95
Over 2.5
40%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.73
No
58%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
28%
-2.9pp
34%
Draw
26%
+8.1pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+12.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-12.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.3pp
58%
BTTS No
46%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosta EU Bookmakers 50%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.00
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
243 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naxxar Lions
0-0
AWAY Mosta
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Naxxar Lions vs Mosta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naxxar Lions and Mosta played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Mosta at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Naxxar Lions had 58% of the ball to Mosta's 42%, shots finished 6-7.

What was the final score of Naxxar Lions vs Mosta?

Naxxar Lions 0-0 Mosta in the Malta - Premier League on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naxxar Lions vs Mosta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mosta win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Naxxar Lions 25%, draw 34%, Mosta 41%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mosta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mosta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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