Gudja United 0-3 Valletta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.4
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
54%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.44
No
61%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+6.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
54%
Away Win
60%
-6.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.7pp
61%
BTTS No
63%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gudja United EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Valletta EU Bookmakers 64%
-13% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.92/2.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.59/1.08
+12% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / -35%
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
233 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gudja United
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Valletta
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2023 Gudja United Gudja United 1-2 HT 0-2 Valletta Valletta MLTP
04.12.2022 Valletta Valletta 0-1 HT 0-1 Gudja United Gudja United MLTP
30.01.2022 Valletta Valletta 1-3 HT 0-2 Gudja United Gudja United MLTP
25.09.2021 Gudja United Gudja United 2-0 HT 1-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gudja United
0-3
AWAY Valletta
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gudja United vs Valletta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valletta ran out comfortable winners over Gudja United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valletta as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Gudja United had 50% of the ball to Valletta's 50%, shots finished 12-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gudja United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Gudja United and 0.75 for Valletta.

What was the final score of Gudja United vs Valletta?

Gudja United 0-3 Valletta in the Malta - Premier League on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gudja United vs Valletta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valletta win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Gudja United 23%, draw 23%, Valletta 54%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valletta), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valletta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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