Bendel Insurance 1-0 Shooting Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.67
No
64%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.8pp
35%
Draw
29%
+5.1pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.7pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
33%
+3.0pp
64%
BTTS No
67%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.43/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/0.86
-71% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +52%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bendel Insurance
1-0
AWAY Shooting Stars
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bendel Insurance vs Shooting Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bendel Insurance edged past Shooting Stars 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bendel Insurance as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bendel Insurance had 47% of the ball to Shooting Stars's 53%, shots finished 8-6.

What was the final score of Bendel Insurance vs Shooting Stars?

Bendel Insurance 1-0 Shooting Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bendel Insurance vs Shooting Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bendel Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bendel Insurance 45%, draw 35%, Shooting Stars 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bendel Insurance), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bendel Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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