Enyimba 1-0 Akwa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.6
No
57%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
62%
-5.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+5.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
34%
+8.6pp
57%
BTTS No
66%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Enyimba EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Akwa United EU Bookmakers 17%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.94/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/0.84
+20% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +74%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Enyimba
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Akwa United
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.10.2023 Enyimba Enyimba 3-2 HT 2-1 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
26.01.2022 Enyimba Enyimba 1-0 HT 1-0 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
11.07.2021 Akwa United Akwa United 1-0 HT 0-0 Enyimba Enyimba NIJ
24.02.2021 Enyimba Enyimba 1-1 HT 0-0 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Enyimba
1-0
AWAY Akwa United
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Enyimba vs Akwa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Enyimba nicked a narrow win over Akwa United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Enyimba as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Enyimba had 60% of the ball to Akwa United's 40%, shots finished 8-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Enyimba had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Enyimba and 1.00 for Akwa United.

What was the final score of Enyimba vs Akwa United?

Enyimba 1-0 Akwa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Enyimba vs Akwa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Enyimba win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Enyimba 56%, draw 24%, Akwa United 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Enyimba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Enyimba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NIJ More Nigeria NPFL
2 Oct 2024
18:00 Bendel Insurance vs Shooting Stars Analysis →