Valerenga 4-2 Mjondalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.77
2-3 Goals
35%
2.16
4-5 Goals
28%
2.49
6+ Goals
13%
5.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
70%
-10.1pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.0pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +18%
3.83/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.51
+71% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +52%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mjondalen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.34 xG 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
381 Passes 239
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.04.2024 Mjondalen Mjondalen 5-3 HT 3-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR1
05.12.2021 Valerenga Valerenga 2-0 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR
24.05.2021 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-1 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
03.10.2020 Valerenga Valerenga 4-1 HT 1-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR
12.07.2020 Mjondalen Mjondalen 0-1 HT 0-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
01.12.2019 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-0 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga
4-2
AWAY Mjondalen
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Valerenga vs Mjondalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga beat Mjondalen 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Valerenga as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Valerenga had 55% of the ball to Mjondalen's 45%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valerenga had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Valerenga and 1.33 for Mjondalen.

What was the final score of Valerenga vs Mjondalen?

Valerenga 4-2 Mjondalen in the Norway - 1st Division on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga vs Mjondalen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 60%, draw 22%, Mjondalen 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valerenga), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valerenga) ✓ Over 2.5
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