Gil Vicente U23 1-1 Rio Ave U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-8.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.8pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
2.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+10% / -75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +51%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente U23
1-1
AWAY Rio Ave U23
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente U23 vs Rio Ave U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 and Rio Ave U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Gil Vicente U23 had 53% of the ball to Rio Ave U23's 47%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Gil Vicente U23 1-1 Rio Ave U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente U23 39%, draw 25%, Rio Ave U23 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gil Vicente U23), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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