Leixoes U23 0-3 Famalicao U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
14%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+5.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-4.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 53%
+61% / +61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+33% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes U23
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Famalicao U23
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
05.12.2023 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 3-2 HT 1-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
19.09.2023 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 1-2 HT 0-1 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes U23
0-3
AWAY Famalicao U23
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leixoes U23 vs Famalicao U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao U23 ran out comfortable winners over Leixoes U23 3-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Famalicao U23 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Leixoes U23 had 47% of the ball to Famalicao U23's 53%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Famalicao U23 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Leixoes U23 and 2.50 for Famalicao U23.

What was the final score of Leixoes U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Leixoes U23 0-3 Famalicao U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Famalicao U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Leixoes U23 31%, draw 24%, Famalicao U23 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Famalicao U23), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Famalicao U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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