Mafra U23 1-3 Santa Clara U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
43%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.7pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.9pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 39%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -53% / -53%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.50
-26% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -49%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Santa Clara U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
27.02.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 1-3 HT 0-2 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra U23
1-3
AWAY Santa Clara U23
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mafra U23 vs Santa Clara U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara U23 saw off Mafra U23 3-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Santa Clara U23 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mafra U23 had 58% of the ball to Santa Clara U23's 42%, shots finished 7-12.

What was the final score of Mafra U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Mafra U23 1-3 Santa Clara U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Clara U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mafra U23 33%, draw 24%, Santa Clara U23 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara U23), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara U23) ✓ BTTS Yes
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