Mafra U23 1-3 Santa Clara U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 27 Feb 2024

Mafra U23
1-3 HT 0-2
Santa Clara U23
📅27/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Portugal - U23 National Championship – 2023/2024

Mafra U23 vs Santa Clara U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.29
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
41%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
27%
+12.2pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.1pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-7.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mafra U23 v Santa Clara U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 53%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
0.00/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Mafra U23 1-3 Santa Clara U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra U23
1-3
AWAY Santa Clara U23
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mafra U23 vs Santa Clara U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara U23 got the better of Mafra U23 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 20% / 41%) promised a tight game; Santa Clara U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mafra U23 had 55% of the ball to Santa Clara U23's 45%, shots finished 15-15.

What was the final score of Mafra U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Mafra U23 1-3 Santa Clara U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Clara U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mafra U23 39%, draw 20%, Santa Clara U23 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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