Gil Vicente U23 3-3 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
37%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-8.5pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
37%
Away Win
26%
+11.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 29%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+76% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +96%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente U23
3-3
AWAY Estrela U23
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 and Estrela U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (41% / 21% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gil Vicente U23 had 47% of the ball to Estrela U23's 53%, shots finished 16-7.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente U23 vs Estrela U23?

Gil Vicente U23 3-3 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente U23 41%, draw 21%, Estrela U23 37%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) ✓ Over 2.5
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