Torreense U23 3-1 Benfica U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
15%
3.72
Away
57%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.49
No
51%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.9pp
15%
Draw
24%
-8.3pp
57%
Away Win
50%
+7.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+0.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.8pp
51%
BTTS No
37%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense U23 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 54%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-20% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense U23
3-1
AWAY Benfica U23
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torreense U23 vs Benfica U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense U23 beat Benfica U23 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Benfica U23 carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Torreense U23 had 43% of the ball to Benfica U23's 57%, shots finished 12-14.

What was the final score of Torreense U23 vs Benfica U23?

Torreense U23 3-1 Benfica U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense U23 vs Benfica U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Torreense U23 28%, draw 15%, Benfica U23 57%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Benfica U23), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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