One Knoxville 1-1 Forward Madison — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-10.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.0pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.8pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
1.13/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.37
-29% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
20.6 Crosses 13.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME One Knoxville
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Forward Madison
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.67 xG 1.38
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
297 Passes 339
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
10.09.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-0 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
13.08.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 1-2 HT 1-2 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
04.05.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 0-0 HT 0-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME One Knoxville
1-1
AWAY Forward Madison
0.63 xG 0.90
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
377 Passes 383
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH One Knoxville vs Forward Madison
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville and Forward Madison shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, One Knoxville had 50% of the ball to Forward Madison's 50%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.63 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, One Knoxville had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for One Knoxville and 0.33 for Forward Madison.

What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Forward Madison?

One Knoxville 1-1 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Forward Madison?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 32%, draw 31%, Forward Madison 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Forward Madison), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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