Union Omaha 4-0 Spokane Velocity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-8.3pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.9pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.74/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.89
-3% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
21.5 Crosses 16.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Omaha
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Spokane Velocity
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.24 xG 1.13
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 0
407 Passes 272
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 10
38 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.09.2024 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 2-1 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
4-0
AWAY Spokane Velocity
2.09 xG 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
359 Passes 322
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha cruised past Spokane Velocity 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Union Omaha had 52% of the ball to Spokane Velocity's 48%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 2.09 to 1.25.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity?

Union Omaha 4-0 Spokane Velocity in the USA - USL League 1 on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 52%, draw 27%, Spokane Velocity 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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