Aalborg 2-1 HB Koge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 2 Oct 2025

Aalborg
2-1 HT 0-0
HB Koge
📅02/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2025/2026

Aalborg vs HB Koge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.49
Draw
16%
4.19
Away
14%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.43
Over 2.5
65%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
28%
2.63
6+ Goals
15%
6.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.84
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
4%
15.55
X/1
22%
4.19
X/2
3%
11.9
X/X
5%
6.95
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.35
2/2
7%
8.86
2/X
7%
17.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.35 — our 9% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
62%
+7.8pp
16%
Draw
20%
-4.6pp
14%
Away Win
17%
-3.2pp
35%
Under 2.5
38%
-2.4pp
65%
Over 2.5
62%
+2.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.7pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aalborg v HB Koge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalborg EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY HB Koge EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.86/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.73
+42% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
435 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
18.7 Crosses 10.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Aalborg vs HB Koge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalborg
5W-1D-0L
AWAY HB Koge
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.88 xG 0.69
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
446 Passes 385
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.08.2025 HB Koge HB Koge 0-2 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
03.12.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 1-2 HT 0-2 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
22.09.2023 Aalborg Aalborg 2-0 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
27.11.2019 HB Koge HB Koge 0-3 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAK
20.05.2012 Aalborg Aalborg 1-0 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN
19.03.2012 HB Koge HB Koge 1-1 HT 1-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN

Aalborg 2-1 HB Koge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalborg
2-1
AWAY HB Koge
1.08 xG 0.65
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
503 Passes 258
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aalborg vs HB Koge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalborg nicked a narrow win over HB Koge 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aalborg as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Aalborg had 63% of the ball to HB Koge's 37%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.08 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalborg had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Aalborg and 0.33 for HB Koge.

What was the final score of Aalborg vs HB Koge?

Aalborg 2-1 HB Koge in the Denmark 1st Division on 02/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalborg vs HB Koge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalborg win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Aalborg 70%, draw 16%, HB Koge 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalborg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aalborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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