Kwara United 2-1 Plateau United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 2 Oct 2025

📅02/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
28%
No
72%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
54%
+4.0pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.0pp
16%
Away Win
16%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kwara United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Plateau United EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.26/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.33
-13% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kwara United
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Plateau United
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Plateau United Plateau United 0-0 HT 0-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
08.06.2024 Plateau United Plateau United 2-0 HT 1-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
11.04.2022 Kwara United Kwara United 1-1 HT 1-1 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
16.05.2021 Kwara United Kwara United 2-0 HT 0-0 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kwara United
2-1
AWAY Plateau United
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kwara United vs Plateau United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kwara United nicked a narrow win over Plateau United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kwara United as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (75%), no to both teams scoring (72%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kwara United had 52% of the ball to Plateau United's 48%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Kwara United and 0.75 for Plateau United.

What was the final score of Kwara United vs Plateau United?

Kwara United 2-1 Plateau United in the Nigeria NPFL on 02/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kwara United vs Plateau United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kwara United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kwara United 58%, draw 26%, Plateau United 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kwara United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kwara United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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