Inverness CT 1-1 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.05
6+ Goals
10%
19.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.05 — our 25% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.7pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.00/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/2.03
-38% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
100 · 93% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 89 · 92%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
2.0 Crosses 6.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inverness CT
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
26 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
24.08.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-0 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
09.07.2022 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-1 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKLK
POST-MATCH Inverness CT vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inverness CT and Kelty Hearts shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Inverness CT at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Inverness CT had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Inverness CT and 0.00 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of Inverness CT vs Kelty Hearts?

Inverness CT 1-1 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inverness CT vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inverness CT win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Inverness CT 43%, draw 29%, Kelty Hearts 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inverness CT), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inverness CT) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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