Arbroath 1-0 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.81
No
61%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.66
6+ Goals
8%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 34% vs market 25.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
51%
-11.9pp
61%
BTTS No
49%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arbroath EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 29%
-18% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
0.76/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.66
-53% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
314 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 12.0
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arbroath
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
03.08.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-1 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
09.03.2019 Arbroath Arbroath 0-2 HT 0-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
12.01.2019 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-4 HT 1-2 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
01.12.2018 Arbroath Arbroath 5-2 HT 2-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
22.09.2018 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-2 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
05.04.2014 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-2 HT 1-1 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
POST-MATCH Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arbroath edged past Stenhousemuir 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arbroath as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arbroath had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Arbroath and 1.67 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir?

Arbroath 1-0 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 46%, draw 25%, Stenhousemuir 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arbroath), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arbroath) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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