Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stenhousemuir v Arbroath — Team-Based Signals
Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Stenhousemuir
İK1
1-4
HT 1-2
Arbroath
İK1
5-2
HT 2-1
Stenhousemuir
İK1
1-2
HT 1-0
Arbroath
İK1
2-2
HT 1-1
Arbroath
İK1
2-1
HT 1-1
Stenhousemuir
İK1
Stenhousemuir nicked a narrow win over Arbroath 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Arbroath at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arbroath led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stenhousemuir and 2.50 for Arbroath.
What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath?
Stenhousemuir 2-1 Arbroath in the Scotland - 1st Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 30%, draw 23%, Arbroath 47%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.