Montrose 1-1 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 3 Aug 2024

Montrose
1-1 HT 0-0
Kelty Hearts
📅03/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Montrose vs Kelty Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.63
No
37%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.16
6+ Goals
16%
10.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.16 — our 27% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.8pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.5pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
57%
+5.6pp
37%
BTTS No
43%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montrose v Kelty Hearts — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montrose EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -6%
1.77/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/2.44
+4% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Montrose vs Kelty Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montrose
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Montrose Montrose 4-2 HT 2-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
16.12.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-1 HT 0-1 Montrose Montrose İK1
05.08.2023 Montrose Montrose 0-2 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
18.03.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-2 HT 1-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
28.01.2023 Montrose Montrose 3-3 HT 2-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
12.11.2022 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-3 HT 0-1 Montrose Montrose İK1
POST-MATCH Montrose vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montrose and Kelty Hearts couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Montrose at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montrose had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Montrose and 1.50 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of Montrose vs Kelty Hearts?

Montrose 1-1 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montrose vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montrose win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Montrose 43%, draw 30%, Kelty Hearts 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Montrose), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montrose) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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