Montrose 4-2 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

Montrose
4-2 HT 2-0
Kelty Hearts
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Montrose vs Kelty Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.95
Over 2.5
57%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.52
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.33
6+ Goals
14%
12.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.33 — our 27% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montrose v Kelty Hearts — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montrose EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.55/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.10
-3% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
340 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Montrose vs Kelty Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montrose
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-1 HT 0-1 Montrose Montrose İK1
05.08.2023 Montrose Montrose 0-2 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
18.03.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-2 HT 1-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
28.01.2023 Montrose Montrose 3-3 HT 2-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
12.11.2022 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-3 HT 0-1 Montrose Montrose İK1
27.08.2022 Montrose Montrose 3-0 HT 1-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
POST-MATCH Montrose vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montrose beat Kelty Hearts 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Montrose as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montrose had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Montrose and 1.17 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of Montrose vs Kelty Hearts?

Montrose 4-2 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montrose vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montrose win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Montrose 41%, draw 27%, Kelty Hearts 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montrose), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Montrose) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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