Alloa Athletic 4-1 Cove Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

Alloa Athletic
4-1 HT 1-0
Cove Rangers
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.1
Over 2.5
43%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
4.05
2-3 Goals
34%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.66
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.05 — our 33% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.1pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alloa Athletic v Cove Rangers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cove Rangers EU Bookmakers 38%
+12% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.66/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.78
+6% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +94%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cove Rangers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 1-2 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
02.09.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
16.04.2022 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 3-0 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
26.02.2022 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-2 HT 2-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
18.12.2021 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 3-0 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
02.10.2021 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-3 HT 0-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic cruised past Cove Rangers 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alloa Athletic as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cove Rangers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alloa Athletic and 2.00 for Cove Rangers.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers?

Alloa Athletic 4-1 Cove Rangers in the Scotland - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 42%, draw 27%, Cove Rangers 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alloa Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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