Falkirk 3-2 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

Falkirk
3-2 HT 3-1
Hamilton
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Falkirk vs Hamilton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.21
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 27% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Falkirk v Hamilton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkirk EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -16%
2.20/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.64
+14% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
272 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Falkirk vs Hamilton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkirk
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hamilton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 1-3 HT 1-2 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
07.10.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
17.07.2021 Falkirk Falkirk 1-2 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKLK
18.05.2014 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
13.05.2014 Falkirk Falkirk 1-1 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
15.03.2014 Hamilton Hamilton 3-1 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
POST-MATCH Falkirk vs Hamilton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk nicked a narrow win over Hamilton 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Falkirk as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Falkirk and 1.33 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Falkirk vs Hamilton?

Falkirk 3-2 Hamilton in the Scotland - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkirk vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 47%, draw 26%, Hamilton 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✗ Under 2.5
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