St. Johnstone 1-2 Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 2 Nov 2024

St. Johnstone
1-2 HT 0-1
Hearts
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

St. Johnstone vs Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.39
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.5
6+ Goals
13%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.67
1/2
6%
24.45
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
13%
7.64
X/2
14%
4.39
X/X
17%
4.77
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.61
2/X
5%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-6.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Johnstone v Hearts — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Hearts EU Bookmakers 52%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -8%
1.02/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.31
-27% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
206 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 73%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
20.7 Crosses 20.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

St. Johnstone vs Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Hearts
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.14 xG 1.77
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
242 Passes 389
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 31
19 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.02.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-1 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
25.11.2023 Hearts Hearts 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
05.08.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-2 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
04.03.2023 Hearts Hearts 3-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
28.12.2022 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-3 HT 0-2 Hearts Hearts İKP
28.08.2022 Hearts Hearts 3-2 HT 2-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP

St. Johnstone 1-2 Hearts — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Johnstone
1-2
AWAY Hearts
1.39 xG 1.44
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 9
456 Passes 251
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts edged past St. Johnstone 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, St. Johnstone had 61% of the ball to Hearts's 39%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.39 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for St. Johnstone and 2.17 for Hearts.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Hearts?

St. Johnstone 1-2 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 31%, draw 28%, Hearts 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hearts) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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2 Nov 2024
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