St. Johnstone 0-1 Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 7 Feb 2024

📅07/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
43%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.32
6+ Goals
11%
22.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.13
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
8%
15.4
X/1
13%
7.42
X/2
14%
3.99
X/X
13%
4.29
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
21%
2.6
2/X
7%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-5.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Hearts EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.08/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.37
-11% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
202 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 73%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
18.5 Crosses 17.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Hearts
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.19 xG 1.94
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
200 Passes 380
66% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.11.2023 Hearts Hearts 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
05.08.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-2 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
04.03.2023 Hearts Hearts 3-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
28.12.2022 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-3 HT 0-2 Hearts Hearts İKP
28.08.2022 Hearts Hearts 3-2 HT 2-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
19.02.2022 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-1 HT 1-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Johnstone
0-1
AWAY Hearts
0.45 xG 0.70
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
353 Passes 403
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts nicked a narrow win over St. Johnstone 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, St. Johnstone had 48% of the ball to Hearts's 52%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.45 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Johnstone and 2.17 for Hearts.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Hearts?

St. Johnstone 0-1 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 30%, draw 27%, Hearts 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hearts) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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