Hibernian 1-2 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 7 Feb 2024

Hibernian
1-2 HT 0-1
Celtic
📅07/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Hibernian vs Celtic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.71
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
59%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.33
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.75
6+ Goals
16%
7.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
8.6
1/2
7%
20.0
1/X
5%
16.55
X/1
6%
12.0
X/2
18%
3.81
X/X
9%
6.59
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
34%
1.81
2/X
6%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+3.4pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.6pp
59%
Away Win
61%
-2.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
39%
+0.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
61%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hibernian v Celtic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 66%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.57/2.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/0.88
+76% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -17%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
253 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 459 · 86%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.6
23.3 Crosses 24.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Hibernian vs Celtic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Celtic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.99 xG 2.88
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 10
218 Passes 569
71% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 51
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.12.2023 Celtic Celtic 4-1 HT 2-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
28.10.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 0-0 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
24.05.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 4-2 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
18.03.2023 Celtic Celtic 3-1 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
28.12.2022 Hibernian Hibernian 0-4 HT 0-2 Celtic Celtic İKP
15.10.2022 Celtic Celtic 6-1 HT 3-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP

Hibernian 1-2 Celtic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
1-2
AWAY Celtic
0.96 xG 2.05
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
220 Passes 531
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 39
20 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic edged past Hibernian 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hibernian had 34% of the ball to Celtic's 66%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.96 to 2.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hibernian and 3.17 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs Celtic?

Hibernian 1-2 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 21%, draw 20%, Celtic 59%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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