St. Mirren 2-0 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 7 Feb 2024

St. Mirren
2-0 HT 0-0
Dundee FC
📅07/02/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

St. Mirren vs Dundee FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.46
6+ Goals
13%
23.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.33
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
15%
4.78
X/2
13%
6.02
X/X
13%
3.89
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
13%
4.62
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.6
Value flag · 2/X at 13.6 — our 12% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.6pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Mirren v Dundee FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.28/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.24
-8% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
226 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 66%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
27.1 Crosses 21.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

St. Mirren vs Dundee FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Mirren
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dundee FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.09 xG 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
261 Passes 206
68% Pass Accuracy 62%
19 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 4-0 HT 2-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
12.08.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-1 HT 2-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
21.01.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKK
07.05.2022 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
09.03.2022 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
30.10.2021 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP

St. Mirren 2-0 Dundee FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Mirren
2-0
AWAY Dundee FC
1.69 xG 0.32
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 5
246 Passes 248
67% Pass Accuracy 64%
26 Box Touches 17
38 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Mirren vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Mirren got the better of Dundee FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; St. Mirren found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, St. Mirren had 50% of the ball to Dundee FC's 50%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 1.69 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for St. Mirren and 1.00 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Dundee FC?

St. Mirren 2-0 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 34%, draw 31%, Dundee FC 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/31/34) ✓ Under 2.5
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